Portugal U19 vs Estonia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.3%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
7.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 0
POR
38%
24%
38%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
POR
1 - 1
GRC
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
GEO
0 - 3
POR
21%
22%
56%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2010 |
POR
2 - 2
AZE
77%
15%
8%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
POR
0 - 5
CRO
54%
23%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Estonia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2011 |
EST
0 - 1
CRO
18%
21%
61%
|
38 | 64 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
EST
3 - 0
LIE
72%
17%
12%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2010 |
SCO
2 - 1
EST
76%
16%
8%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2010 |
NOR
0 - 2
EST
76%
16%
8%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2009 |
EST
1 - 2
LTU
34%
25%
41%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |