Portugal U19 vs España U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
51.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2012 |
EST
0 - 3
POR
4%
14%
82%
|
67 | 38 | 29 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2012 |
UKR
0 - 3
POR
41%
25%
34%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2012 |
POR
7 - 1
ISR
71%
17%
12%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
POR
1 - 0
IRL
57%
21%
22%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2011 |
POR
3 - 3
HUN
63%
20%
18%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
España U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2012 |
GRC
1 - 2
ESP
16%
22%
63%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 2
ESP
21%
23%
56%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
ESP
2 - 1
ITA
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
ESP
2 - 1
ARM
85%
11%
4%
|
78 | 45 | 33 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2011 |
CZE
2 - 3
ESP
19%
23%
58%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |