Portugal U19 vs Denmark U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
POR
1 - 1
BLR
86%
10%
4%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
BGR
1 - 0
POR
5%
11%
84%
|
70 | 44 | 26 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
POR
2 - 1
ITA
57%
21%
23%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
POR
1 - 3
FRA
37%
25%
38%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 1
POR
30%
24%
46%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Denmark U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
DEN
1 - 3
BGR
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
DEN
5 - 0
BLR
64%
21%
16%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
DEN
7 - 1
MNE
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
FRA
4 - 0
DEN
79%
14%
7%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
SRB
2 - 2
DEN
65%
19%
16%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |