Portugal U17 vs Wales U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
POR
2 - 0
SWE
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
POR
1 - 1
ENG
28%
23%
49%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
SMR
0 - 5
POR
13%
19%
68%
|
59 | 19 | 40 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
POR
7 - 0
ARM
74%
18%
8%
|
59 | 32 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CRO
1 - 0
POR
48%
22%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Wales U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
CRO
0 - 2
WAL
81%
13%
6%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
WAL
1 - 1
ALB
64%
19%
16%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
SUI
1 - 0
WAL
61%
22%
17%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2015 |
NED
1 - 2
WAL
75%
17%
8%
|
39 | 64 | 25 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
WAL
1 - 0
ISL
40%
26%
35%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |