Portuarios vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
21.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-70%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
OLI
3 - 1
POR
90%
7%
3%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
POR
0 - 1
SAG
59%
20%
22%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
GAN
6 - 3
POR
81%
12%
8%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
POR
4 - 1
CAT
67%
17%
16%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
SDS
5 - 0
POR
75%
14%
11%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
PEG
2 - 0
CAN
66%
17%
17%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
ALC
4 - 1
PEG
79%
13%
8%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
PEG
2 - 1
ACE
71%
16%
13%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
VIL
3 - 1
PEG
60%
21%
19%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
PEG
1 - 1
OND
66%
18%
16%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |