Portstewart vs Tobermore United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
10.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+76%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
7º
10º
10º
25
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 39 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 32 |
5º
|
80.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 28 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 27 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 23 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
75% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 18 |
11º
|
88.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 32% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 68% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portstewart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
LIS
0 - 0
POR
45%
24%
31%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
POR
0 - 3
BRF
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -2 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
MOY
4 - 1
POR
30%
24%
47%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
POR
1 - 4
COL
10%
18%
73%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
POR
1 - 4
BAL
11%
19%
70%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Tobermore United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
TOB
1 - 1
QUB
17%
20%
64%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ARC
0 - 4
TOB
84%
11%
5%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | +2 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
TOB
1 - 3
BAN
13%
19%
68%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
TOB
1 - 3
BAL
7%
15%
78%
|
26 | 65 | 39 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2022 |
LIS
6 - 1
TOB
77%
14%
9%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |