Portstewart vs Lurgan Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
15.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portstewart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
AUN
3 - 1
POR
65%
18%
17%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
NEY
2 - 1
POR
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
POR
2 - 1
ARC
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
MCI
1 - 0
POR
7%
12%
82%
|
48 | 17 | 31 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
POR
1 - 1
LIS
31%
23%
46%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lurgan Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
LCE
3 - 2
SYL
36%
21%
43%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
DOL
3 - 1
LCE
62%
18%
21%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
LIS
3 - 1
LCE
81%
12%
7%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
LCE
1 - 5
TOB
28%
23%
50%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
LCE
2 - 3
POR
30%
23%
47%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |