Portstewart vs Lurgan Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
58.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portstewart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
WAK
1 - 0
POR
64%
19%
17%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
BAL
3 - 2
POR
65%
20%
16%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
POR
2 - 0
SYL
57%
22%
21%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
KNO
8 - 0
POR
79%
14%
7%
|
33 | 55 | 22 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
MOY
1 - 0
POR
42%
23%
35%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lurgan Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
LCE
2 - 1
PSN
71%
17%
12%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
LAR
1 - 1
LCE
38%
23%
39%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
LCE
2 - 2
AUN
74%
16%
10%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
LCE
0 - 3
KNO
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
LCE
1 - 0
CAR
48%
22%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |