Portstewart vs Lurgan Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
41.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portstewart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
POR
2 - 2
SYL
56%
22%
23%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
WAK
3 - 1
POR
41%
24%
35%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
POR
0 - 3
BAN
32%
24%
44%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
POR
4 - 1
KRF
73%
17%
10%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
POR
2 - 1
BMF
35%
26%
38%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lurgan Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
LCE
0 - 2
SYL
73%
15%
12%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
AUN
2 - 6
LCE
55%
22%
23%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
LCE
2 - 3
DUN
24%
23%
54%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
LCE
1 - 2
BAL
51%
22%
27%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
SYL
3 - 1
LCE
27%
22%
51%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | -2 |