Portstewart vs Lurgan Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
42.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portstewart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
AUN
0 - 1
POR
59%
23%
17%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
MOY
4 - 0
POR
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -2 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
POR
0 - 3
OUS
44%
24%
32%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
CCF
0 - 4
POR
38%
25%
38%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
NEW
8 - 0
POR
79%
14%
7%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Lurgan Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
LCE
2 - 1
OUS
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
PSN
3 - 2
LCE
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
LCE
1 - 0
WAK
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
LCE
0 - 2
HAR
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
BFC
1 - 0
LCE
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |