Portstewart vs Limavady analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
60.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+76%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
7º
10º
10º
35
4º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 39 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 32 |
5º
|
80.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 28 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 27 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 23 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
75% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 18 |
11º
|
88.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portstewart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2023 |
BAN
3 - 1
POR
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BRF
1 - 2
POR
79%
14%
7%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
POR
0 - 0
MOY
23%
23%
54%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BAN
4 - 0
POR
85%
11%
5%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
POR
0 - 2
BAN
32%
25%
44%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Limavady
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LIM
2 - 3
QUB
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
LIS
1 - 1
LIM
24%
24%
52%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
BAN
1 - 0
LIM
59%
21%
19%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LIM
2 - 0
DOL
58%
22%
21%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LIM
1 - 1
BRF
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |