Portstewart vs Limavady analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
60.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portstewart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2017 |
POR
2 - 2
COL
14%
21%
65%
|
35 | 67 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
GLE
5 - 1
POR
90%
8%
2%
|
36 | 71 | 35 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
DCC
2 - 4
POR
34%
22%
44%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
KYF
0 - 5
POR
10%
16%
75%
|
34 | 10 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
POR
1 - 3
DUN
36%
22%
42%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Limavady
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
LIM
2 - 0
DON
69%
18%
14%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2017 |
NEW
0 - 1
LIM
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
BAN
1 - 2
LIM
22%
23%
56%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2017 |
LIM
5 - 1
TOB
69%
18%
13%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
MOY
2 - 1
LIM
29%
24%
47%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |