Portstewart vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
43.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+79%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portstewart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
COA
2 - 1
POR
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
ARD
2 - 2
POR
51%
25%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
BAN
3 - 2
POR
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
POR
2 - 6
MOY
56%
25%
19%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
BAL
1 - 3
POR
47%
26%
28%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
TOB
2 - 3
INS
37%
25%
38%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
INS
2 - 0
MOY
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
BAL
0 - 3
INS
35%
25%
40%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
INS
1 - 1
BAN
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
BAN
4 - 3
INS
47%
24%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |