Portstewart vs Ballymacash Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
43.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
7º
10º
10º
44
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 39 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 32 |
5º
|
80.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 28 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 27 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 23 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
75% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 18 |
11º
|
88.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portstewart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
MOY
4 - 1
POR
30%
24%
47%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
POR
1 - 4
COL
10%
18%
73%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
POR
1 - 4
BAL
11%
19%
70%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2022 |
MOY
3 - 2
POR
25%
24%
51%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
POR
7 - 0
PSN
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Ballymacash Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
DOL
2 - 1
BRF
49%
22%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2022 |
BRF
0 - 2
CAR
34%
22%
45%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
BAN
3 - 2
BRF
30%
23%
48%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
STJ
0 - 4
BRF
7%
13%
80%
|
50 | 14 | 36 | +1 |