Porto II vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
13.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VIZ
1 - 1
POR
32%
28%
41%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
POR
1 - 1
FAM
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
POR
0 - 0
UNM
48%
25%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
POR
3 - 0
POR
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
POR
1 - 0
SPC
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
FAF
1 - 1
SPC
38%
29%
33%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
VSC
1 - 3
FAF
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
FAF
1 - 2
ACA
28%
29%
43%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
UNM
0 - 0
FAF
65%
22%
13%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
NAV
3 - 2
FAF
17%
24%
59%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | -1 |