Portmarnock vs St Patrick's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.9%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
83.4%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
12.4%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.5%
0-4
8.8%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
12.1%
0-5
5%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.5%
0-6
2.3%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.9%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
LER
2 - 1
POR
59%
20%
21%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
POR
1 - 1
LER
29%
23%
49%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2004 |
ROC
3 - 1
POR
70%
17%
13%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2003 |
POR
0 - 1
DUB
21%
22%
57%
|
9 | 57 | 48 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2001 |
POR
1 - 2
LON
20%
23%
57%
|
9 | 65 | 56 | 0 |
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2017 |
STP
2 - 1
FIR
86%
11%
3%
|
66 | 23 | 43 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
SLR
1 - 1
STP
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2017 |
DRO
0 - 1
STP
27%
27%
47%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2017 |
STP
3 - 1
BRW
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2017 |
STP
2 - 1
DER
37%
28%
36%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |