Portland Timbers II vs Real Monarchs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
32.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portland Timbers II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
HOU
4 - 1
POR
82%
13%
5%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
VAN
2 - 2
POR
62%
18%
20%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2022 |
POR
0 - 2
SAN
38%
24%
39%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
SAC
4 - 0
POR
73%
17%
10%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
TAC
2 - 1
POR
60%
20%
20%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Monarchs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
MON
2 - 3
MIN
21%
22%
57%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
MON
2 - 2
VAN
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
TAC
4 - 0
MON
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
COL
7 - 0
MON
63%
21%
17%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
NMU
3 - 1
MON
79%
14%
7%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | -1 |