Portland Timbers II vs Austin FC II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
21.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portland Timbers II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
POR
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
POR
5 - 2
SPK
28%
23%
49%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
LAG
0 - 0
POR
53%
22%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2024 |
POR
1 - 1
MON
59%
21%
21%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
POR
0 - 2
VAN
43%
24%
34%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Austin FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 1
NOT
28%
25%
47%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
MIN
2 - 2
AFC
54%
22%
23%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
HOU
2 - 0
AFC
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 0
MON
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
SPK
2 - 2
AFC
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |