Portimonense vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
29.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
GFC
2 - 1
POR
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
POR
0 - 2
GFC
38%
27%
36%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
POR
2 - 2
TRO
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
EST
0 - 1
POR
54%
25%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
POR
2 - 1
BMA
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
UDL
1 - 0
VAR
53%
24%
22%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
VAR
0 - 0
UDL
34%
27%
40%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
GON
2 - 2
VAR
46%
27%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
VAR
0 - 0
FEI
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
RIO
0 - 1
VAR
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |