Portimonense vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
12.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1983 |
POR
3 - 1
GFC
61%
19%
20%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1983 |
AMO
3 - 0
POR
41%
29%
31%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -2 |
| 06 Feb. 1983 |
POR
3 - 1
GDA
77%
16%
7%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 1983 |
POR
3 - 0
RIO
60%
23%
18%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1983 |
FCP
2 - 0
POR
82%
13%
5%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1983 |
VAR
0 - 0
EST
60%
24%
16%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1983 |
GDA
0 - 2
VAR
37%
30%
33%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 1983 |
VAR
1 - 1
SAL
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1983 |
AMO
0 - 0
VAR
48%
28%
25%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1983 |
VST
1 - 0
VAR
51%
29%
20%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |