Portimonense vs Arouca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
27.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 1
POR
50%
25%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
POR
0 - 3
FCP
12%
20%
69%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
FAM
0 - 3
POR
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 3
POR
30%
25%
45%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
POR
2 - 0
BEL
47%
28%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2021 |
ARO
1 - 4
VIZ
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 1
ARO
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
ARO
2 - 1
BOA
39%
28%
34%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
GFC
1 - 1
ARO
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
ARO
2 - 0
TON
51%
26%
24%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |