Portimonense vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
36.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 3
POR
25%
30%
45%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
POR
0 - 0
SAN
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
BMA
0 - 0
POR
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
PEN
1 - 0
POR
45%
28%
27%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ACA
2 - 1
POR
57%
25%
19%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
UDL
1 - 1
ACA
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2009 |
ACA
2 - 0
VIT
38%
29%
33%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
FCP
3 - 2
ACA
69%
20%
11%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ACA
2 - 1
POR
57%
25%
19%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
ACA
0 - 0
BMA
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |