Porthmadog vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
64.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
POR
4 - 1
PEN
69%
17%
14%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
POR
1 - 0
LLA
73%
15%
12%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
POR
1 - 1
RHA
72%
16%
12%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
POR
4 - 4
CEF
23%
23%
54%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
POR
4 - 2
PEN
77%
14%
10%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2014 |
TNS
0 - 2
SBR
36%
24%
40%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2014 |
SBR
1 - 0
TNS
69%
19%
13%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
ABE
2 - 3
TNS
35%
23%
42%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 0
TNS
27%
26%
47%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
RHY
0 - 2
TNS
28%
25%
47%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |