Porthmadog vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
56.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+88%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
POR
0 - 1
CON
45%
23%
32%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
POR
5 - 0
POR
74%
18%
9%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
POR
0 - 1
AIR
42%
25%
34%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 3
POR
67%
20%
13%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
POR
2 - 0
PRE
32%
23%
46%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2009 |
TNS
4 - 0
ABE
70%
18%
12%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
HAV
0 - 0
TNS
27%
27%
46%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2009 |
TNS
4 - 0
CAE
86%
10%
4%
|
69 | 40 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
TNS
4 - 0
RHY
52%
23%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
TNS
2 - 0
POR
60%
21%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |