Porthmadog vs Panteg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.6%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.4%
5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
RTW
2 - 2
POR
32%
23%
45%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
POR
1 - 2
GUI
38%
24%
39%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
POR
3 - 0
PEN
69%
17%
14%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
POR
10 - 0
FCP
88%
8%
4%
|
39 | 9 | 30 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
POR
9 - 2
QPA
69%
16%
15%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Panteg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
TON
1 - 2
PAT
78%
14%
9%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
ABE
1 - 3
PAT
81%
12%
7%
|
12 | 34 | 22 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
LLA
6 - 3
PAT
81%
13%
6%
|
12 | 48 | 36 | 0 |