Porthmadog vs Mold Alexandra analysis

Porthmadog Mold Alexandra
31 ELO 34
2.3% Tilt 10.1%
9103º General ELO ranking 5420º
62º Country ELO ranking 35º
ELO win probability
46%
Porthmadog
21.8%
Draw
32.2%
Mold Alexandra

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
Porthmadog
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
32.2%
Win probability
Mold Alexandra
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Porthmadog
+3%
-19%
Mold Alexandra

Points and table prediction

Porthmadog
Their league position
Mold Alexandra
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
11º
11º
35
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Colwyn Bay
82
85
100%
Holywell
77
77
100%
Llandudno FC
65
65
100%
Guilsfield FC
54
57
100%
Ruthin Town
48
51
100%
Prestatyn Town
43
46
50%
Cefn Druids AFC
43
43
50%
Buckley Town
42
42
100%
Gresford Athletic
10º
32
35
0%
Mold Alexandra
35
35
10º
0%
Porthmadog
11º
30
31
11º
49%
Llanidloes Town FC
12º
27
28
12º
63.5%
Chirk AAA
13º
26
26
13º
100%
Conwy Borough FC
14º
23
23
14º
100%
Holyhead Hotspur
15º
16
16
15º
68%
Penrhyncoch FC
16º
16
16
16º
68%
Expected probabilities
Porthmadog
Mold Alexandra
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Porthmadog
Mold Alexandra
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Porthmadog
Porthmadog
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jan. 2023
POR
Porthmadog
0 - 2
Llandudno FC
LLA
15%
21%
65%
33 50 17 0
02 Jan. 2023
HOL
Holywell
4 - 0
Porthmadog
POR
82%
12%
5%
34 52 18 -1
27 Dec. 2022
POR
Porthmadog
3 - 1
Conwy Borough FC
CON
61%
19%
20%
33 28 5 +1
06 Dec. 2022
GUI
Guilsfield FC
4 - 0
Porthmadog
POR
71%
18%
12%
34 46 12 -1
26 Nov. 2022
POR
Porthmadog
1 - 2
Guilsfield FC
GUI
25%
24%
51%
35 45 10 -1

Matches

Mold Alexandra
Mold Alexandra
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jan. 2023
LLA
Llandudno FC
1 - 2
Mold Alexandra
MOL
81%
13%
6%
31 50 19 0
07 Dec. 2022
BUC
Buckley Town
2 - 1
Mold Alexandra
MOL
61%
19%
20%
31 38 7 0
26 Nov. 2022
MOL
Mold Alexandra
2 - 0
Buckley Town
BUC
31%
22%
48%
28 39 11 +3
19 Nov. 2022
CEF
Cefn Druids AFC
2 - 1
Mold Alexandra
MOL
79%
12%
9%
28 39 11 0
12 Nov. 2022
MOL
Mold Alexandra
0 - 4
Briton Ferry
BRI
16%
19%
65%
30 49 19 -2