Porthmadog vs Mold Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
19.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
POR
2 - 0
PRE
40%
21%
39%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
AAA
2 - 1
POR
42%
21%
37%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
COL
2 - 0
POR
75%
16%
10%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 3
POR
43%
24%
34%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
POR
0 - 1
GRE
41%
23%
36%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Mold Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
MOL
1 - 0
AAA
40%
21%
39%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
COL
4 - 0
MOL
84%
11%
4%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
MOL
3 - 1
PEN
29%
21%
50%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +3 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 1
MOL
77%
15%
9%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
MOL
4 - 0
LLA
20%
20%
61%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | +3 |