Porthmadog vs Llanelli AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
64.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
POR
4 - 2
POR
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
POR
0 - 0
BAN
20%
23%
57%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
POR
2 - 2
AIR
50%
25%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
CAE
2 - 4
POR
58%
23%
20%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
POR
2 - 6
ABE
25%
25%
50%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2008 |
LLA
4 - 2
HAV
72%
17%
11%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2008 |
POR
0 - 1
LLA
26%
24%
51%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2008 |
LLA
4 - 0
TNS
56%
22%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
CEF
3 - 6
LLA
19%
19%
62%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
BAN
1 - 1
LLA
44%
24%
32%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |