Porthmadog vs Holywell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
75.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.7%
0-2
15.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.1%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
AAA
1 - 1
POR
38%
22%
40%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
POR
0 - 3
AIR
7%
15%
79%
|
30 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
GUI
4 - 0
POR
75%
16%
9%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
POR
1 - 3
BUC
28%
22%
50%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
POR
0 - 1
GRE
37%
23%
40%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Holywell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
GUI
0 - 2
HOL
16%
22%
62%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
RTW
1 - 1
HOL
15%
21%
64%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
LLA
0 - 4
HOL
13%
20%
67%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
HOL
4 - 0
PRE
78%
15%
8%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
HOL
3 - 0
DEN
73%
17%
11%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |