Porthmadog vs Guilsfield FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
61.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
AIR
2 - 1
POR
82%
11%
7%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
POR
4 - 1
AAA
58%
20%
22%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
CAE
2 - 2
POR
88%
9%
4%
|
31 | 59 | 28 | +2 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
HOL
1 - 0
POR
85%
11%
4%
|
32 | 54 | 22 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
POR
4 - 2
LLA
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Guilsfield FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
GUI
0 - 1
BUC
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 1
GUI
79%
14%
7%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
AIR
3 - 0
GUI
30%
23%
47%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -2 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 3
GUI
11%
17%
72%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
CON
2 - 1
GUI
74%
18%
9%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |