Porthmadog vs Guilsfield FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
38.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
POR
3 - 0
PEN
69%
17%
14%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
POR
10 - 0
FCP
88%
8%
4%
|
39 | 9 | 30 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
POR
9 - 2
QPA
69%
16%
15%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
POR
3 - 0
PFC
87%
9%
4%
|
37 | 9 | 28 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
HOL
2 - 0
POR
54%
20%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Guilsfield FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
GUI
0 - 0
HOL
61%
21%
19%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
HOL
2 - 3
GUI
37%
23%
40%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
DEN
1 - 3
GUI
46%
23%
31%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
GUI
2 - 2
CAE
18%
20%
63%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
GUI
4 - 0
MOL
77%
15%
9%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | -1 |