Porthmadog vs Guilsfield FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
50.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
LLA
0 - 2
POR
12%
16%
71%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
POR
1 - 2
CAE
15%
19%
66%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
POR
3 - 1
RTW
84%
11%
5%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
POR
3 - 1
BUC
64%
20%
17%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
MOL
2 - 6
POR
39%
23%
38%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Guilsfield FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
GUI
2 - 1
AIR
22%
23%
55%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
GUI
5 - 0
DEN
44%
24%
33%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
CAE
2 - 2
GUI
23%
23%
54%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
GUI
2 - 0
HOL
63%
21%
17%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 1
GUI
22%
24%
54%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |