Porthmadog vs Guilsfield FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
56.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CON
3 - 2
POR
42%
24%
34%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CAE
2 - 1
POR
79%
14%
7%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
POR
2 - 1
GRE
60%
20%
19%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
POR
6 - 1
LLA
82%
12%
7%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +2 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
DEN
2 - 0
POR
65%
19%
16%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Guilsfield FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
GUI
1 - 2
CAE
80%
14%
7%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
CAE
1 - 3
GUI
64%
20%
17%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
LLA
1 - 2
GUI
12%
16%
72%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | +3 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
CWU
0 - 3
GUI
30%
23%
47%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
GUI
2 - 3
HOL
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |