Porthmadog vs Guilsfield FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
23.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
POR
2 - 1
SUL
84%
11%
5%
|
36 | 13 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
RHY
0 - 4
POR
39%
23%
38%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
POR
1 - 3
BUC
63%
20%
18%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
RHA
3 - 1
POR
33%
23%
44%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
CAE
1 - 2
POR
66%
18%
16%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Guilsfield FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
RHY
0 - 0
GUI
31%
23%
47%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
GUI
1 - 0
PEN
71%
17%
12%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
CON
0 - 2
GUI
71%
17%
12%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
PEN
1 - 3
GUI
38%
23%
39%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
GUI
2 - 1
HOL
40%
23%
37%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |