Porthmadog vs Guilsfield FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
11.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
FLI
3 - 3
POR
68%
18%
14%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
POR
2 - 4
BUC
61%
21%
18%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
POR
0 - 2
WEL
74%
16%
10%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
CON
1 - 2
POR
79%
14%
7%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
POR
4 - 0
RHY
85%
11%
5%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Guilsfield FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
GUI
1 - 1
LLA
25%
23%
52%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
BUC
2 - 2
GUI
74%
16%
11%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
GUI
0 - 3
CEF
30%
23%
47%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 4
GUI
75%
15%
10%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
GUI
4 - 4
AEL
41%
23%
36%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |