Porthmadog vs Gresford Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
29.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
CAE
3 - 1
POR
32%
23%
45%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
HOL
1 - 3
POR
44%
23%
33%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
POR
0 - 2
FLI
45%
23%
32%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
POR
4 - 0
CAE
61%
20%
19%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
PRE
1 - 1
POR
73%
16%
11%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Gresford Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 2
PRE
22%
21%
57%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
CAE
0 - 1
GRE
38%
23%
40%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
PEN
2 - 1
GRE
19%
21%
60%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
GRE
3 - 0
DEN
35%
24%
41%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
GRE
4 - 2
DEN
27%
24%
50%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +3 |