Porthmadog vs Corwen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.5%
Win probability
3.52
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.7%
6-0
4%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.6%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.3%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
7.8%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.8%
3.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
POR
7 - 0
BER
85%
10%
5%
|
40 | 7 | 33 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
POR
0 - 0
PEN
57%
22%
22%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
LLA
1 - 3
POR
8%
13%
79%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
POR
2 - 0
RTW
45%
24%
32%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
LLA
4 - 2
POR
32%
22%
46%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Corwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
COR
2 - 3
COL
21%
20%
59%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
CON
1 - 3
COR
89%
7%
3%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
COR
0 - 2
COL
19%
19%
62%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
RHY
4 - 0
COR
91%
6%
3%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
COR
2 - 6
GRE
22%
19%
59%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -2 |