Porthmadog vs Conwy Borough FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.4%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.9%
6.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
POR
1 - 0
MOL
79%
13%
7%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
BUC
0 - 7
POR
24%
21%
55%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
POR
4 - 2
LLA
84%
11%
6%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2016 |
CAE
2 - 0
POR
85%
10%
5%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
RTW
1 - 2
POR
15%
20%
66%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Conwy Borough FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
CON
2 - 2
DEN
17%
19%
65%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
CON
1 - 11
PRE
6%
12%
82%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 0
CON
64%
19%
17%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2016 |
CON
2 - 3
HOL
29%
23%
48%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
FLI
2 - 1
CON
80%
14%
7%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |