Porthmadog vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
26.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2008 |
RHY
1 - 0
POR
73%
18%
9%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
POR
2 - 4
LLA
16%
20%
64%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
POR
4 - 2
POR
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
POR
0 - 0
BAN
20%
23%
57%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
POR
2 - 2
AIR
50%
25%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2008 |
AIR
0 - 0
CON
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
CON
0 - 1
POR
32%
28%
41%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
BAN
3 - 2
CON
75%
16%
9%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
CON
1 - 0
CAE
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
CON
1 - 1
HAV
31%
26%
43%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |