Porthmadog vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
36%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2007 |
BAN
2 - 1
POR
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
POR
1 - 1
AIR
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
TNS
3 - 0
POR
75%
17%
9%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 1
POR
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
POR
3 - 0
CEF
58%
23%
20%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
POR
0 - 1
CON
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
CON
2 - 2
CWM
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2007 |
CON
1 - 0
CEF
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
WEL
0 - 0
CON
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2007 |
NEW
0 - 1
CON
31%
27%
42%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |