Porthmadog vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
POR
0 - 3
CAE
54%
22%
25%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
NEW
3 - 1
POR
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
HAV
1 - 1
POR
69%
20%
12%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
POR
3 - 3
CAE
38%
25%
37%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
POR
2 - 1
RHY
25%
25%
51%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
CON
0 - 1
CAR
36%
27%
37%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
CAE
1 - 0
CON
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2005 |
CON
0 - 1
BAN
25%
23%
53%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
POR
0 - 0
CON
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2005 |
CON
0 - 2
TNS
23%
24%
53%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |