Porthmadog vs Chirk AAA analysis


28	ELO	33
3%	Tilt	7.5%
9078º	General ELO ranking	29325º
62º	Country ELO ranking	129º
ELO win probability

50.1%

Porthmadog

21.2%

Draw

28.7%

Chirk AAA

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

50.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%

21.2%

Draw

0-0

2.7%

1-1

8.6%

2-2

6.9%

3-3

2.4%

4-4

0.5%

5-5

0.1%

0

21.2%

28.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

11º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

30

4º

11º

26

12º

15º

13º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

13º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	82	85	1º	100%
2º	77	77	2º	100%
3º	65	65	3º	100%
4º	54	57	4º	100%
5º	48	51	5º	100%
6º	43	46	6º	50%
7º	43	43	7º	50%
8º	42	42	8º	100%
10º	32	35	9º	0%
9º	35	35	10º	0%
11º	30	31	11º	49%
12º	27	28	12º	63.5%
13º	26	26	13º	100%
14º	23	23	14º	100%
15º	16	16	15º	68%
16º	16	16	16º	68%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Promotion	0%	0%
Mid-table	100%	100%
Relegation	0%	0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Porthmadog

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
11 Feb. 2023	PRE 2 - 1 POR 70% 16% 14%	30	37	7	0
07 Feb. 2023	POR 1 - 1 BUC 24% 21% 55%	29	40	11	+1
04 Feb. 2023	RTW 1 - 0 POR 76% 14% 10%	29	41	12	0
28 Jan. 2023	POR 0 - 4 RTW 31% 24% 45%	32	41	9	-3
20 Jan. 2023	HOL 1 - 2 POR 40% 23% 37%	31	30	1	+1

Matches

Chirk AAA

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
11 Feb. 2023	AAA 3 - 1 MOL 38% 22% 41%	29	31	2	0
28 Jan. 2023	AAA 1 - 2 COL 7% 14% 79%	29	54	25	0
14 Jan. 2023	AAA 1 - 1 CON 52% 21% 28%	29	27	2	0
07 Jan. 2023	AAA 1 - 2 RTW 27% 22% 51%	30	40	10	-1
02 Jan. 2023	HOL 0 - 0 AAA 47% 22% 32%	30	30	0	0