Porthmadog vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
36.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
LLA
3 - 3
POR
25%
22%
53%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
POR
2 - 2
LLA
61%
20%
19%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
POR
4 - 1
AEL
64%
19%
17%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
LLA
1 - 5
POR
50%
23%
28%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
POR
0 - 1
CAE
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
CEF
4 - 2
CON
36%
25%
39%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
CEF
2 - 0
AEL
73%
16%
11%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
CEF
4 - 2
GUI
84%
11%
5%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
CEF
5 - 1
LLA
77%
14%
8%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
AEL
1 - 2
CEF
41%
23%
36%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |