Porthmadog vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
12.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
CON
3 - 0
POR
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
POR
0 - 1
POR
18%
25%
57%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
CAE
1 - 2
POR
36%
25%
39%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
AIR
1 - 2
POR
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
POR
0 - 2
BAN
15%
21%
65%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
CAR
4 - 0
CEF
76%
16%
8%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2010 |
CEF
0 - 5
PRE
17%
20%
63%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
CEF
0 - 1
CON
26%
25%
49%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
WEL
2 - 1
CEF
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
CEF
1 - 2
HAV
21%
24%
55%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |