Porthmadog vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
19.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2008 |
POR
2 - 3
BAN
23%
22%
55%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
POR
5 - 3
CAE
66%
18%
16%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
TNS
6 - 0
POR
82%
13%
5%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2008 |
CAE
1 - 1
POR
62%
21%
18%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
POR
2 - 1
WEL
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2008 |
NEW
2 - 3
CEF
70%
18%
13%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
CEF
4 - 2
HAL
76%
14%
10%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2008 |
PRE
3 - 3
CEF
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
CEF
0 - 4
LLA
13%
19%
68%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
CAE
4 - 2
CEF
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -2 |