Porthmadog vs Caersws analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
POR
5 - 2
CAE
55%
23%
23%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
ABE
2 - 1
POR
65%
22%
14%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2007 |
LLA
2 - 0
POR
58%
23%
20%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
POR
1 - 2
CEF
54%
23%
23%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
WEL
0 - 3
POR
75%
17%
8%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
CAE
1 - 4
POR
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2007 |
WEL
5 - 3
CAE
67%
20%
14%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
BAN
1 - 1
CAE
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
LLA
1 - 1
CAE
82%
12%
6%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2007 |
CAE
1 - 1
ABE
24%
24%
52%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |