Portbou vs Navata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
39.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portbou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
POR
4 - 0
LLE
66%
18%
16%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CAD
2 - 4
POR
42%
22%
36%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
POR
2 - 0
CAM
70%
17%
13%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
POR
3 - 0
SLM
51%
21%
28%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CBC
1 - 0
POR
33%
21%
47%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Navata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
NAV
4 - 1
SLM
80%
12%
8%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
CBC
1 - 3
NAV
21%
20%
59%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
NAV
2 - 1
LLA
52%
21%
28%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
SEL
0 - 3
NAV
26%
21%
53%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
NAV
4 - 0
VFC
79%
13%
9%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |