Portbou vs Bascara A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
20.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-79%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portbou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
POR
1 - 1
AGU
34%
22%
44%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SAU
4 - 1
POR
61%
18%
21%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
POR
3 - 0
LPC
16%
17%
67%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
PAT
0 - 0
POR
37%
22%
41%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
POR
7 - 2
CIS
54%
21%
25%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bascara A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 1
SAN
16%
18%
66%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
EMP
0 - 5
BAS
61%
20%
20%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 3
RSS
18%
18%
64%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ROC
1 - 0
BAS
80%
12%
7%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
AGU
3 - 1
BAS
63%
18%
18%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |