Portaleño Atlético vs CD Nerja Fundación analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
13.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portaleño Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
CDC
7 - 0
POR
72%
16%
12%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
CAL
1 - 0
POR
55%
21%
24%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
POR
0 - 2
CAR
62%
20%
18%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
ATL
2 - 2
POR
39%
24%
38%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
POR
5 - 1
ELP
62%
20%
18%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Nerja Fundación
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
NER
3 - 4
CAR
24%
24%
52%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
ATL
2 - 1
NER
70%
17%
13%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
NER
3 - 0
ELP
33%
23%
45%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
ATL
3 - 2
NER
71%
17%
13%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
NER
2 - 4
MIJ
34%
24%
42%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |