Portadown vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
POR
3 - 1
COL
53%
24%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2010 |
POR
1 - 3
LIS
75%
16%
9%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
BAL
0 - 1
POR
23%
24%
52%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2010 |
POR
1 - 0
CRU
56%
22%
22%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
CRU
1 - 1
POR
38%
23%
39%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
INS
1 - 2
GLE
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2010 |
INS
1 - 3
CRU
28%
27%
45%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
INS
2 - 3
LIS
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2010 |
GLE
2 - 1
INS
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2010 |
COL
1 - 1
INS
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |